Off-plan or Completed Property in Bali: Returns and Risks

Every investor in Bali has to choose one of two strategies: enter at the construction stage (off-plan) or buy a completed property. Let’s look at what each path offers. Off-plan means buying at the excavation stage or early construction, usually 12–18 months before handover. Pros of off-plan: — The price is 15–30% lower than the same property after completion. This is the basic premium for risk. — Installment payments — usually 10–30% on signing, with the rest paid in equal tranches according to construction stages. Convenient for those who are not ready to pay the full amount at once. — The ability to choose the best unit — floor, view, layout. — Resale at the “90% completion” stage is possible with profit already locked in. Cons of off-plan: — Risk of non-completion. If the developer has financial issues or problems with the PBG, you may wait for years or lose part of your payments. — Risk of deviations from the renders. The actual finish is often worse than the marketing. — Your money is “parked” for 12–18 months without rental income. — You need to check the developer very carefully (see the 12-point checklist). Completed property is a handed-over, fully documented asset, most often with the first rental cycles already completed. Pros of completed property: — Cash flow from the first month. No need to wait for construction. — You can see the actual finish and quality. — Occupancy is visible through operator data (if the property is already being rented out). — Less legal risk: PBG, certificates, licenses — everything is already in place. Cons of completed property: — The price is 15–30% higher than off-plan. — Fewer options when choosing a unit (often the less liquid ones remain). — If the property is on the resale market, due diligence of the previous transaction and legal history is required. How to understand what to choose: Off-plan suits you if: — Your budget does not allow you to buy a completed property right away. — You are ready to spend time on thorough developer due diligence. — You have a high risk tolerance. — Your investment horizon is 5 years or more (there is time to realize the profit). Completed property suits you if: — You need immediate cash flow. — You do not want to dive into the legal details of construction. — You have the capital, but not the budget for “stuck money” for 1.5 years. — This is your first investment in Bali — it is better to see how the market actually works. A compromise: buying a completed but “freshly handed-over” property (1–3 months after completion). The price is usually lower than mature resale, but the risk of non-completion has already been removed. The key rule of off-plan: never buy from a developer with less than 5 years of experience and fewer than 3 completed projects. A 20% discount does not compensate for the risk of losing 100%.

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